Winograd: a nonsense report?


Posted by Helena Cobban
January 30, 2008 8:34 PM EST | Link
Filed in Israel 2003-08

I am trying to imagine the physiological distortions the members of the Winograd wound themselves up into when they issued this crazed judgment on the decisionmaking in the last days of the 33-day war, and have been unable to:

    Winograd assailed the final, large-scale ground operation launched in the final 60 hours of the war in which dozens of IDF soldiers were killed, saying it "did not achieve any military objectives nor did it fulfill its potential."

    "The ground operation did not reduce the Katyusha fire nor did it achieve significant accomplishments, and its role in accelerating or improving the political settlement is unclear," said Winograd. "Also unclear is how it affected the Lebanese government and Hezbollah regarding the cease-fire."

    "The manner in which the ground operation was conducted raises the most difficult of questions," he continued.

    However, the panel found that the decisions that motivated the political echelons to approve the offensive were acceptable.

This is a nonsense conclusion.

That last ground assault on Lebanon not only did not realize any objectives on the ground-- it also was launched after the terms of the final ceasefire had been agreed by Israel on August 11, so it did not affect the terms of the ceasefire. In addition, because it was such a tactical fiasco, it ended up delivering far from the intended final, "uber-deterrent" message. Instead it showed that the ground forces' readiness and planning were garbage. Remember all those news pictures of the exhausted, ill-equipped, and defeated Israeli ground force troops staggering back south across the border on August 14 and 15? And it had led to those 33 quite avoidable deaths of Israeli soldiers.

Until recently, Israel has had a fairly solid reputation among the western democracies for, at least, being able to establish serious national commissions charged with investigating past mistakes. For all its shortcomings, the Kahan Commission into the the Sabra and Shatila massacres was one such body.

Now, with the recent final findings of the Or Commission into the October 2000 killings by the police of 10 or 11 Palestinian Israelis, and this latest report form the Winograd Commission, we see that even this once strong feature of Israel's governance system has become badly degraded.

In US military and political circles, people like to talk about the importance of doing "lessons learned" exercises. In Britain, more realistically, they tend to call them "lessons identified"-- since learning is yet another stage, that requires some active intelligence going in.

But in the Israel of the Winograd Commission, they don't even want to identify the lessons to be learned from the past? Interesting, indeed.



Comments
Comment from... Mark Pyruz, at January 30, 2008 09:14 PM:

Helena, I don't find the conclusion too surprising. Politically, Israel is enduring a period of self-doubt and insecurity. The 2nd Lebanon War was an obvious mistake. It actually served to boost the confidence of Hezbollah and, to an extent, Iran. So you really can't expect a a definitive Israeli report to offer a conclusion that significantly contributes more to the weakening of Israeli politics.

If anyone's interested in an honest Israeli military perspective, read Matt Mathew's interview of retired Israeli General Shimon Naveh at:

http://abumuqawama.blogspot.com/2008/01/look-hezbollah-are-lebanese-patriots.html

Comment from... D. Mathews, at January 30, 2008 09:47 PM:

Lessons? I hate to be so cynical but 'what did you expect?' When you have such nonsense as this being contemplated you feel like screaming: 'Stop the world! I want to get off'.

Anyway, there still are some sane people in the world.

Comment from... Joshua, at January 30, 2008 10:28 PM:

Helena, just because the Winograd report did not come to the conclusion that you expected "Israel, Olmert = bad." does not make it phony. I know you have your pre-conceptions, prejudices, and biases. But you can't expect everyone else to handle them.

I'm also curious as to why you dismiss the Or commission's report. Again, I recognize that you have some Pavlonian reaction to assume "Arabs good, Jews bad" but you should at least have the maturity to recognize that others may take a position more based on evidence than prejudice.

By the way, I would recommend Imshin's comments on the events of October 2007. I notice that her site used to be among those that you linked to on your front page. But a few months ago you decided to ethnically cleanse your links section. Pity, because it was one of the few sites that did not have the knee-jerk hateful reaction against Israelis that all too often manifests on this site.

It's too bad, because you really did show some integrity with the last post re: Ahmedinejed (albeit allowing outright bigotry from regulars like Dominic).

Comment from... Alex, at January 31, 2008 03:43 AM:

The Winograd report was a clear and simple whitewash. The British know how to do it, the US too. The Israelis are clever, and quite capable of copying the technique.

Comment from... KDJ, at January 31, 2008 06:41 PM:

Paul Salem discusses Post-War Lebanon

http://www.nowlebanon.com/NewsArticleDetails.aspx?ID=28987

Comment from... Shirin, at February 1, 2008 12:46 AM:

Alex, the Israelis INVENTED the technique! The founding fathers were absolute masters at it.

Comment from... KDJ, at February 2, 2008 07:45 PM:

Marc Sirois of the Daily Star on the Winograd Report


http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=88629

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